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IMPORTANCE: The risk of cancer in patients with psoriasis remains a cause of special concern due to the chronic inflammatory nature of the disease, the use of immune-suppressive treatments and UV therapies, and the increased prevalence of comorbid, well-established risk factors for cancer, such as smoking and obesity, all of which may increase the risk of carcinogenesis. OBJECTIVE: To compare the overall risk of cancer, and specific cancers of interest, in patients with psoriasis compared with patients without psoriasis. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Population-based cohort study of patients ages 18 to 89 years with no medical history of human immunodeficiency virus, cancer, organ transplants, or hereditary disease (albinism and xeroderma pigmentosum), prior to the start date, conducted using The Health Improvement Network, a primary care medical records database in the United Kingdom. The data analyzed had been collected prospectively from 2002 through January 2014. The analysis was completed in August 2015. EXPOSURES OF INTEREST: Patients with at least 1 diagnostic code for psoriasis were classified as having moderate-to-severe disease if they had been prescribed psoralen, methotrexate, cyclosporine, acitretin, adalimumab, etanercept, infliximab, or ustekinumab or phototherapy for psoriasis. Patients were classified as having mild disease if they never received treatment with any of these agents. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Incident cancer diagnosis. RESULTS: A total of 937,716 control group patients without psoriasis, matched on date and practice visit, and 198,366 patients with psoriasis (186,076 with mild psoriasis and 12,290 with moderate-to-severe disease) were included in the analysis. The adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) with 95% CIs for any incident cancer excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer (NMSC) were 1.06 (95% CI, 1.02-1.09), 1.06 (95% CI, 1.02-1.09), and 1.08 (95% CI, 0.96-1.22) in the overall, mild, and severe psoriasis group. The aHRs for incident lymphoma were 1.34 (95% CI, 1.18-1.51), 1.31 (95% CI, 1.15-1.49), and 1.89 (95% CI, 1.25-2.86); for NMSC, 1.12 (95% CI, 1.07-1.16), 1.09 (95% CI, 1.05-1.13), and 1.61 (95% CI, 1.42-1.84); and for lung cancer, 1.15 (95% CI, 1.03-1.27), 1.12 (95% CI, 1.01-1.25), and 1.62 (95% CI, 1.16-2.28) in the overall, mild, and severe psoriasis groups, respectively. No significant association was seen with cancer of the breast, colon, prostate, or leukemia. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The association between psoriasis and cancer, albeit small, was present in our cohort of patients with psoriasis. This association was primarily driven by NMSC, lymphoma, and lung cancer.

The Pharmacoepidemiological Research on Outcomes of Therapeutics by a European ConsorTium (PROTECT) initiative was a collaborative European project that sought to address limitations of current methods in the field of pharmacoepidemiology and pharmacovigilance. Initiated in 2009 and ending in 2015, PROTECT was part of the Innovative Medicines Initiative, a joint undertaking by the European Union and pharmaceutical industry. Thirty-five partners including academics, regulators, small and medium enterprises, and European Federation of Pharmaceuticals Industries and Associations companies contributed to PROTECT. Two work packages within PROTECT implemented research examining the extent to which differences in the study design, methodology, and choice of data source can contribute to producing discrepant results from observational studies on drug safety. To evaluate the effect of these differences, the project applied different designs and analytic methodology for six drug-adverse event pairs across several electronic healthcare databases and registries. This papers introduces the organizational structure and procedures of PROTECT, including how drug-adverse event and data sources were selected, study design and analyses documents were developed, and results managed centrally.

BACKGROUND: Although many women treated with psychotropic medication become pregnant, no psychotropic medication has been licensed for use in pregnancy. This leaves women and their health-care professionals in a treatment dilemma, as they need to balance the health of the woman with that of the unborn child. The aim of this project was to investigate the risks and benefits of psychotropic medication in women treated for psychosis who become pregnant. OBJECTIVE(S): (1) To provide a descriptive account of psychotropic medication prescribed before pregnancy, during pregnancy and up to 15 months after delivery in UK primary care from 1995 to 2012; (2) to identify risk factors predictive of discontinuation and restarting of lithium (multiple manufacturers), anticonvulsant mood stabilisers and antipsychotic medication; (3) to examine the extent to which pregnancy is a determinant for discontinuation of psychotropic medication; (4) to examine prevalence of records suggestive of adverse mental health, deterioration or relapse 18 months before and during pregnancy, and up to 15 months after delivery; and (5) to estimate absolute and relative risks of adverse maternal and child outcomes of psychotropic treatment in pregnancy. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort studies. SETTING: Primary care. PARTICIPANTS: Women treated for psychosis who became pregnant, and their children. INTERVENTIONS: Treatment with antipsychotics, lithium or anticonvulsant mood stabilisers. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Discontinuation and restarting of treatment; worsening of mental health; acute pre-eclampsia/gestational hypertension; gestational diabetes; caesarean section; perinatal death; major congenital malformations; poor birth outcome (low birthweight, preterm birth, small for gestational age, low Apgar score); transient poor birth outcomes (tremor, agitation, breathing and muscle tone problems); and neurodevelopmental and behavioural disorders. DATA SOURCES: Clinical Practice Research Datalink database and The Health Improvement Network primary care database. RESULTS: Prescribing of psychotropic medication was relatively constant before pregnancy, decreased sharply in early pregnancy and peaked after delivery. Antipsychotic and anticonvulsant treatment increased over the study period. The recording of markers of worsening mental health peaked after delivery. Pregnancy was a strong determinant for discontinuation of psychotropic medication. However, between 40% and 76% of women who discontinued psychotropic medication before or in early pregnancy restarted treatment by 15 months after delivery. The risk of major congenital malformations, and neurodevelopmental and behavioural outcomes in valproate (multiple manufacturers) users was twice that in users of other anticonvulsants. The risks of adverse maternal and child outcomes in women who continued antipsychotic use in pregnancy were not greater than in those who discontinued treatment before pregnancy. LIMITATIONS: A few women would have received parts of their care outside primary care, which may not be captured in this analysis. Likewise, the analyses were based on prescribing data, which may differ from usage. CONCLUSIONS: Psychotropic medication is prescribed before, during and after pregnancy. Many women discontinue treatment before or during early pregnancy and then restart again in late pregnancy or after delivery. Our results support previous associations between valproate and adverse child outcomes but we found no evidence of such an association for antipsychotics. FUTURE WORK: Future research should focus on (1) curtailing the use of sodium valproate; (2) estimating the benefits of psychotropic drug use in pregnancy; and (3) investigating the risks associated with lifestyle choices that are more prevalent among women using psychotropic drugs. FUNDING DETAILS: The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the rate of recording of premenstrual syndrome diagnoses in UK primary care and describe pharmacological treatments initiated following a premenstrual syndrome (PMS) diagnosis. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: UK primary care. PARTICIPANTS: Women registered with a practice contributing to The Health Improvement Network primary care database between 1995 and 2013. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was the rate of first premenstrual syndrome records per 1000 person years, stratified by calendar year and age. The secondary outcome was the proportions of women with a premenstrual syndrome record prescribed a selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor, progestogen, oestrogen, combined oral contraceptive, progestin only contraceptive, gonadotrophin-releasing hormone, danazol and vitamin B6. RESULTS: The rate of recording of premenstrual syndrome diagnoses decreased over calendar time from 8.43 in 1995 to 1.72 in 2013. Of the 38,614 women without treatment in the 6 months prior to diagnosis, 54% received a potentially premenstrual syndrome-related prescription on the day of their first PMS record while 77% received a prescription in the 24 months after. Between 1995 and 1999, the majority of women were prescribed progestogens (23%) or vitamin B6 (20%) on the day of their first PMS record; after 1999, these figures fell to 3% for progestogen and vitamin B6 with the majority of women instead being prescribed a selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (28%) or combined oral contraceptive (17%). CONCLUSIONS: Recording of premenstrual syndrome diagnoses in UK primary care has declined substantially over time and preferred prescription treatment has changed from progestogen to selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor and combined oral contraceptives.

PURPOSE: There is widespread concern about increases in antibiotic use, but comparative data from different European countries on rates of use are lacking. This study was designed to measure and understand the variation in antibiotic utilization across five European countries. METHODS: Seven European healthcare databases with access to primary care data from Denmark, Germany, the Netherlands, Spain and the UK were used to measure and compare the point and 1-year-period prevalence of antibiotic use between 2004 and 2009. Descriptive analyses were stratified by gender, age and type of antibiotic. Separate analyses were performed to measure the most common underlying indications leading to the prescription of an antibiotic. RESULTS: The average yearly period prevalence of antibiotic use varied from 15 (Netherlands) to 30 (Spain) users per 100 patients. A higher prevalence of antibiotic use by female patients, the very young (0-9 years) and old (80+ years), was observed in all databases. The lowest point prevalence was recorded in June and September and ranged from 0.51 (Netherlands) to 1.47 (UK) per 100 patients per day. Twelve percent (Netherlands) to forty-nine (Spain) percent of all users were diagnosed with a respiratory tract infection, and the most common type of antibiotic prescribed were penicillin. CONCLUSION: Using identical methodology in seven EU databases to assess antibiotic use allowed us to compare drug usage patterns across Europe. Our results contribute quantitatively to the true understanding of similarities and differences in the use of antibiotic agents in different EU countries.

We determined prescribing rates of neuraminidase inhibitors (NIs) for influenza in UK primary care since 2009 in relation to national prescribing guidelines. All NI prescriptions issued during the influenza seasons between October 2010 and May 2013 were extracted from The Health Improvement Network (THIN), a large UK primary-care database. We calculated NI prescribing rates per 100,000 person-weeks (pw) by age group, sex, deprivation level, influenza season and presence of chronic conditions with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and used negative binomial regression models to determine the independent association between these variables and NI prescribing. NI prescribing was rare. The prescribing rate was 1·7/100,000 pw (95% CI 1·7-1·8) during influenza-active periods, and 0·1/100,000 (95% CI 0·1-0·1) during non-active periods. Prescribing rates were highest in 25- to 44-year-olds in 2010/2011 and in persons aged ⩾85 years in 2011/2012 and 2012/2013. Individuals with chronic conditions had significantly higher prescribing rates than persons without (rate ratio 2·62, 95% CI 2·27-3·03). GPs are more likely to prescribe NIs to high-risk individuals and during influenza active periods, as per national guidelines. We could not assess the proportion of patients with influenza-like illness who were prescribed an NI.

PURPOSE: To assess the impact of a variety of methodological parameters on the association between six drug classes and five key adverse events in multiple databases. METHODS: The selection of Drug-Adverse Event pairs was based on public health impact, regulatory relevance, and the possibility to study a broad range of methodological issues. Common protocols and data analytical specifications were jointly developed and independently and blindly executed in different databases in Europe with replications in the same and different databases. RESULTS: The association between antibiotics and acute liver injury, benzodiazepines and hip fracture, antidepressants and hip fracture, inhaled long-acting beta2-agonists and acute myocardial infarction was consistent in direction across multiple designs, databases and methods to control for confounding. Some variation in magnitude of the associations was observed depending on design, exposure and outcome definitions, but none of the differences were statistically significant. The association between anti-epileptics and suicidality was inconsistent across the UK CPRD, Danish National registries and the French PGRx system. Calcium channel blockers were not associated with the risk of cancer in the UK CPRD, and this was consistent across different classes of calcium channel blockers, cumulative durations of use up to >10 years and different types of cancer. CONCLUSIONS: A network for observational drug effect studies allowing the execution of common protocols in multiple databases was created. Increased consistency of findings across multiple designs and databases in different countries will increase confidence in findings from observational drug research and benefit/risk assessment of medicines.

PURPOSE: Instrumental variable (IV) analysis can control for unmeasured confounding, yet it has not been widely used in pharmacoepidemiology. We aimed to assess the performance of IV analysis using different IVs in multiple databases in a study of antidepressant use and hip fracture. METHODS: Information on adults with at least one prescription of a selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI) or tricyclic antidepressant (TCA) during 2001-2009 was extracted from the THIN (UK), BIFAP (Spain), and Mondriaan (Netherlands) databases. IVs were created using the proportion of SSRI prescriptions per practice or using the one, five, or ten previous prescriptions by a physician. Data were analysed using conventional Cox regression and two-stage IV models. RESULTS: In the conventional analysis, SSRI (vs. TCA) was associated with an increased risk of hip fracture, which was consistently found across databases: the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) was approximately 1.35 for time-fixed and 1.50 to 2.49 for time-varying SSRI use, while the IV analysis based on the IVs that appeared to satisfy the IV assumptions showed conflicting results, e.g. the adjusted HRs ranged from 0.55 to 2.75 for time-fixed exposure. IVs for time-varying exposure violated at least one IV assumption and were therefore invalid. CONCLUSIONS: This multiple database study shows that the performance of IV analysis varied across the databases for time-fixed and time-varying exposures and strongly depends on the definition of IVs. It remains challenging to obtain valid IVs in pharmacoepidemiological studies, particularly for time-varying exposure, and IV analysis should therefore be interpreted cautiously.

IMPORTANCE: There is limited information about the durability of glycaemic control when different oral glucose-lowering therapies (GLTs) are used as add-on treatments to metformin (MET) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). OBJECTIVE: To compare time to treatment failure between different classes of oral GLT when used as second line (add-on) treatments to MET monotherapy at HbA1c ≥ 7.5%. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: A retrospective cohort study on 20,070 patients who were newly treated with a sulphonylurea (SU), dipeptidyl-peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitor or thiazolidinedione (TZD) following MET therapy failure (2007-2014). Patients' data was sourced from UK General Practices via The Health Improvement Network (THIN) database. The risk of dual therapy failure was compared between three treatment groups: MET + SU (reference group, n = 15,508), MET + DPP-4 inhibitor (n = 3,080) and MET + TZD (n = 1,482). Follow-up was until treatment substitution or intensification with a 3rd GLT, or for up to 5 years (totalling 46,430 person-years). Propensity score weighting and Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were employed. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Risk of dual therapy failure was compared between treatment groups while adjusting for baseline covariates. RESULTS: Unadjusted survival analysis showed the incidence of dual therapy failure at 1 year was 15% with SU, 23% with DPP-4 inhibitor and 8% with TZD. Corresponding failure rates at 2 years were 26, 38 and 12%, respectively. Adjusted multivariate models showed that, compared to the SU group, adding a DPP-4 inhibitor was associated with an increased risk of treatment failure (adjusted hazard ratio, aHR, 1.58; 95% CI: 1.48-1.68), while adding a TZD was associated with a reduced hazard (aHR, 0.45; 95% CI: 0.41-0.50). Baseline parameters associated with an increased hazard of intensification included HbA1c, diabetes duration, gender, smoking status and the use of statins. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In routine clinical practice, adding a DPP-4 inhibitor to MET is associated with an increased, earlier requirement for treatment intensification compared to adding an SU or TZD. Adding a TZD to MET resulted in the most durable glycaemic response. Key messages The Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality has suggested that the durability of glycaemic response after treatment intensification is best investigated using well-designed long-term observational studies. In routine clinical practice, among patients with T2DM receiving a second line glucose lowering treatment as add-on to MET, the addition of a Thiazolidinediones is associated with the most durable glycaemic response, followed by a Sulfonylurea and then a DPP-4 inhibitor. Factors associated with earlier dual therapy failure included concomitant use of statin therapy, being female, a smoker, those with longer diabetes duration and higher baseline HbA1c levels. The addition of a Thiazolidinediones was associated with significant weight gain (1.8 kg, p < 0.001), while add-on DPP-4 inhibitor produced a significant weight reduction (-1.8 kg, p < 0.001). A very small reduction in body weight was observed with the SU (-0.2 kg, p < 0.001).

AIMS: Lack of financial incentive is a frequently cited barrier to alcohol screening in primary care. The Quality and Outcomes Framework (QOF) pay for performance scheme has reimbursed UK primary care practices for alcohol screening in people with schizophrenia since April 2011. This study aimed to determine the impact of financial incentives on alcohol screening by comparing rates of alcohol recording in people with versus those without schizophrenia between 2000 and 2013. METHODS: Cross-sectional and retrospective cohort study. Alcohol data were extracted from The Health Improvement Network (THIN) database of UK primary care records using (a) Read Codes for level of alcohol consumption, (b) continuous measures of drinking (e.g. units a week) and (c) Read Codes for types of screening test. RESULTS: A total of 14,860 individuals (54% (8068) men and 46% (6792) women) from 409 general practices aged 18–99 years with schizophrenia were identified during April 2011–March 2013. Of these, 11,585 (78%) had an alcohol record, of which 99% (8150/8257) of Read Codes for level of consumption were eligible for recompense in the QOF. There was an 839% increase in alcohol recording among people with schizophrenia over the 13-year period (rate ratio per annum increase 1.19 (95% CI 1.18–1.20)) compared with a 62% increase among people without a severe mental illness (rate ratio per annum increase 1.04 (95% CI 1.03–1.05)). CONCLUSION: Financial incentives offered by the QOF appear to have a substantial impact on alcohol screening among people with schizophrenia in UK primary care. SHORT SUMMARY: Alcohol screening among people with schizophrenia increased dramatically in primary health care following the introduction of the UK pay for performance incentive scheme (Quality and Outcomes Framework) for severe mental illness, with an 839% rise (>8-fold increase) compared with a 62% increase among people without a over the 13-year study period (2000–2013).

OBJECTIVE: While gout is associated with cardiovascular (CV)-metabolic comorbidities and their sequelae, the antioxidant effects of uric acid may have neuroprotective benefits. We evaluated the potential impact of incident gout on the risk of developing Alzheimer's disease (AD) in a general population context. METHODS: We conducted an age-matched, sex-matched, entry-time-matched and body mass index (BMI)-matched cohort study using data from The Health Improvement Network, an electronic medical record database representative of the UK general population, from 1 January 1995 to 31 December 2013. Up to five non-gout individuals were matched to each case of incident gout by age, sex, year of enrolment and BMI. We compared incidence rates of AD between the gout and comparison cohorts, excluding individuals with prevalent gout or dementia at baseline. Multivariate hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated, while adjusting for smoking, alcohol use, physician visits, social deprivation index, comorbidities and medication use. We repeated the same analysis among patients with incident osteoarthritis (OA) as a negative control exposure. RESULTS: We identified 309 new cases of AD among 59 224 patients with gout (29% female, mean age 65 years) and 1942 cases among 238 805 in the comparison cohort over a 5-year median follow up (1.0 vs 1.5 per 1000 person-years, respectively). Univariate (age-matched, sex-matched, entry-time-matched and BMI-matched) and multivariate HRs for AD among patients with gout were 0.71 (95% CI 0.62 to 0.80) and 0.76 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.87), respectively. The inverse association persisted among subgroups stratified by sex, age group (<75 and ≥75 years), social deprivation index and history of CV disease. The association between incident OA and the risk of incident AD was null. CONCLUSIONS: These findings provide the first general population-based evidence that gout is inversely associated with the risk of developing AD, supporting the purported potential neuroprotective role of uric acid.

PURPOSE: Studies on drug utilization usually do not allow direct cross-national comparisons because of differences in the respective applied methods. This study aimed to compare time trends in BZDs prescribing by applying a common protocol and analyses plan in seven European electronic healthcare databases. METHODS: Crude and standardized prevalence rates of drug prescribing from 2001-2009 were calculated in databases from Spain, United Kingdon (UK), The Netherlands, Germany and Denmark. Prevalence was stratified by age, sex, BZD type [(using ATC codes), i.e. BZD-anxiolytics BZD-hypnotics, BZD-related drugs and clomethiazole], indication and number of prescription. RESULTS: Crude prevalence rates of BZDs prescribing ranged from 570 to 1700 per 10,000 person-years over the study period. Standardization by age and sex did not substantially change the differences. Standardized prevalence rates increased in the Spanish (+13%) and UK databases (+2% and +8%) over the study period, while they decreased in the Dutch databases (-4% and -22%), the German (-12%) and Danish (-26%) database. Prevalence of anxiolytics outweighed that of hypnotics in the Spanish, Dutch and Bavarian databases, but the reverse was shown in the UK and Danish databases. Prevalence rates consistently increased with age and were two-fold higher in women than in men in all databases. A median of 18% of users received 10 or more prescriptions in 2008. CONCLUSION: Although similar methods were applied, the prevalence of BZD prescribing varied considerably across different populations. Clinical factors related to BZDs and characteristics of the databases may explain these differences.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study is to evaluate the performance and validity of the case-crossover (CCO) and self-controlled case-series (SCCS) designs when studying the association between hip/femur fracture (HF) and antidepressant (AD) use in general practitioner databases. In addition, comparability with cohort and case-control designs is discussed. METHODS: Adult patients with HF and who received an AD prescription during 2001-2009 were identified from UK's The Health Improvement Network (THIN) and the Dutch Mondriaan databases. AD exposure was classified into current, recent and past/non-use (reference). In the CCO, for each patient, a case moment (date of HF) and four prior control moments at -91, -182, -273 and -365 days were defined. In SCCS, incidence of HF was compared between exposure states. Conditional logistic regression was used in the CCO and Poisson regression in the SCCS to compute odds ratios and incidence rate ratios, respectively. In CCO, we adjusted for time-varying co-medication and in SCCS for age. RESULTS: Adjusted estimates for the effect of current AD exposure on HF were higher in the CCO (co-medication-adjusted odds ratio, THIN: 2.24, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.04-2.47; Mondriaan: 2.57, 95%CI [1.50, 4.43]) than in the SCCS (age-adjusted incidence rate ratio, THIN: 1.41, 95%CI [1.32, 1.49]; Mondriaan: 2.14, 95%CI [1.51, 3.03]). The latter were comparable with the traditional designs. CONCLUSION: Case-only designs confirmed the association between AD and HF. The CCO design violated assumptions in this study with regard to exchangeability and length of exposure, and transient effects on outcome. The SCCS seems to be an appropriate design for assessing AD-HF association.

CONTEXT: The relationship between rising body mass index (BMI) and prospective risk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is virtually absent. OBJECTIVE: Determine the extent of the association between BMI and risk of future NAFLD diagnosis, stratifying by sex and diabetes. DESIGN: Two prospective studies using Humedica and Health Improvement Network (THIN) with 1.54 and 4.96 years of follow-up, respectively. SETTING: Electronic health record databases. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with a recorded BMI measurement between 15 and 60 kg/m(2), and smoking status, and 1 year of active status before baseline BMI. Patients with a diagnosis or history of chronic diseases were excluded. INTERVENTIONS: None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Recorded diagnosis of NAFLD/NASH during follow-up (Humedica International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision code 571.8, and read codes for NAFLD and NASH in THIN). RESULTS: Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated across BMI categories using BMI of 20-22.5 kg/m(2) as the reference category, adjusting for age, sex, and smoking status. Risk of recorded NAFLD/NASH increased linearly with BMI and was approximately 5-fold higher in Humedica (HR = 4.78; 95% confidence interval, 4.17-5.47) and 9-fold higher in THIN (HR = 8.93; 7.11-11.23) at a BMI of 30-32.5 kg/m(2) rising to around 10-fold higher in Humedica (HR = 9.80; 8.49-11.32) and 14-fold higher in THIN (HR = 14.32; 11.04-18.57) in the 37.5- to 40-kg/m(2) BMI category. Risk of NAFLD/NASH was approximately 50% higher in men and approximately double in those with diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: These data quantify the consistent and strong relationships between BMI and prospectively recorded diagnoses of NAFLD/NASH and emphasize the importance of weight reduction strategies for prevention and management of NAFLD.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate the incidence, time-course and risk factors for severe renal impairment (SRI) among incident heart failure (HF) patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients aged 1-89years from 2000 to 2005 with incident HF and without SRI or cancer (N=18,049) were identified from The Health Improvement Network (a primary care database representative of the UK population). Patients with a first ever record of SRI during follow-up were identified and eligible non-cases used as controls (N=5377; mean age 74years). Cohort and nested case-control analyses were conducted to identify risk factors for SRI. 2818 patients (15.6%, mean age 75years) in the HF cohort developed SRI over a mean of 2.84years with incidence highest in the first year following HF diagnosis. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were as follows: diabetes (1.96, 1.80-2.14), hypertension (1.23, 1.14-1.33), peripheral artery disease (1.29, 1.15-1.45), ischemic cerebrovascular disease (1.14, 1.03-1.26), and anemia (1.19, 1.06-1.34). Several cardiovascular medications were associated with SRI in the case-control analysis, odds ratios (95% CIs): 5.07 (3.87-6.64) for all diuretics, 3.22 (2.83-3.66) for potassium-sparing diuretics, 2.40 (1.96-2.93) for thiazide and related diuretics and 3.27 (2.67-4.01) for loop-diuretics. CONCLUSION: SRI is a frequent complication in patients with newly diagnosed HF. Comorbidities may contribute to its development and should be adequately treated. Robust clinical trial data on beneficial or possibly deleterious effects of diuretics, especially loop-diuretics and potassium-sparing diuretics, on SRI development in HF patients are warranted.

It is unclear which maintenance treatment for bipolar disorder is superior in clinical practice. Randomized controlled head-to-head trials of available drugs either do not exist or are inconclusive. We aimed to compare rates of monotherapy treatment failure in individuals prescribed lithium, valproate, olanzapine or quetiapine by a population-based cohort study using electronic health records. 5,089 patients with bipolar disorder were prescribed lithium (N=1,505), valproate (N=1,173) olanzapine (N=1,366) or quetiapine (N=1,075) as monotherapy. Treatment failure was defined as time to stopping medication or add-on of another mood stabilizer, antipsychotic, antidepressant or benzodiazepine. In unadjusted analyses, the duration of successful monotherapy was longest in individuals treated with lithium. Treatment failure had occurred in 75% of those prescribed lithium by 2.05 years (95% CI: 1.63-2.51), compared to 0.76 years (95% CI: 0.64-0.84) for those prescribed quetiapine, 0.98 years (95% CI: 0.84-1.18) for those prescribed valproate, and 1.13 years for those prescribed olanzapine (95% CI: 1.00-1.31). Lithium's superiority remained in a propensity score matched analysis; when treatment failure was defined as stopping medication or add-on of a mood stabilizer or antipsychotic; and when treatment failure was restricted to more than three months after commencing the study drug. Lithium appears to be more successful as monotherapy maintenance treatment than valproate, olanzapine or quetiapine. Lithium is often avoided because of its side effect profile, but alternative treatments may reduce the time to being prescribed more than one drug, with potential additive side effects of these treatments.

AIM: Using a population-based cohort, Wan et al. examined the risk of moderate-to-advanced (stage 3-5) chronic kidney disease (CKD) in patients with psoriasis. SETTING AND DESIGN: A population-based cohort was constructed using The Health Improvement Network (THIN) database. THIN is an electronic primary healthcare records database containing routinely collected medical diagnosis and drug prescribing data on > 9 million patients in the U.K. Data were collected prospectively on 143 883 adults (aged 18-90 years) with psoriasis. Of these, 7354 had severe psoriasis, as defined by prescription codes for systemic medication or treatment codes for phototherapy. Patients with psoriasis were matched with up to five nonpsoriasis age- and practice-matched controls. Patients with a diagnosis of CKD before study entry were excluded. In addition, baseline data from the Incident Health Outcomes and Psoriasis Events (iHOPE) study, a cohort of 8731 primary care patients aged 25-64 years with psoriasis, was included. Psoriasis severity was categorized according to body surface area (BSA) involvement as estimated by general practitioners. A similar method using a patient-reported BSA assessment tool was previously validated by the same group. Patients were matched by age and practice with 10 nonpsoriasis controls. STUDY EXPOSURE: Psoriasis, identified on the basis of a recorded diagnostic code for psoriasis. OUTCOMES: Incident CKD was defined as the presence of a recorded diagnostic code consistent with moderate-to-advanced (stage 3-5) CKD or laboratory parameters consistent with the diagnosis (estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL min(-1)  1·73 m(-2) ) during follow-up. Prevalent CKD (as defined above) in the cross-sectional data from the iHOPE study. RESULTS: The adjusted hazard ratios for incident CKD were 1·05 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1·02-1·07], 0·99 (95% CI 0·97-1·02) and 1·93 (95% CI 1·79-2·08) in the overall, mild and severe psoriasis groups, respectively. In the nested cross-sectional study (iHOPE) the adjusted prevalence odds ratios for CKD were 0·89 (95% CI 0·72-1·10), 1·36 (95% CI 1·06-1·74) and 1·58 (95% CI 1·07-2·34) in the mild, moderate and severe psoriasis groups, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Moderate-to-severe psoriasis is associated with an increased risk of moderate-to-advanced CKD, independently of traditional risk factors.

BACKGROUND: Granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA) is associated with an increased risk of mortality; however, recent mortality trends in GPA are unknown. We evaluated this issue in a general population context. METHODS: Using data collected between 1992 and 2013 by The Health Improvement Network in the United Kingdom, we identified individuals diagnosed as incident cases of GPA and up to 10 non-GPA controls matched on sex, age, year of birth, and year of GPA diagnosis. The cohort was divided into two based on the year of diagnosis (i.e., 1992-2002 and 2003-2013) to evaluate changes in mortality. We calculated hazard ratios for death using a Cox-proportional hazards model and the rate differences using an additive hazard model, while adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: We identified 465 cases of GPA (mean age: 60 years, 52% male). The early cohort (1992-2002) GPA patients had considerably higher mortality rates than the late cohort (2003-2013) (i.e., 72.0 vs. 35.7 cases per 1000 person-years), as compared with a moderate improvement in the comparison cohorts between the two periods (19.8 vs. 17.0 cases per 1000 person-years). The corresponding absolute mortality rate difference was 52.2 (95% CI: 25.1-79.2) cases and 18.7 (95% CI: 8.3-29.1) cases per 1000 person-years (p for interaction = 0.025). The resulting HRs for mortality were 4.34 (95% CI: 2.72-6.92) and 2.41 (95% CI: 1.74-3.34), respectively (p for interaction = 0.043). CONCLUSION: This population-based study suggests that survival of GPA patients has improved considerably over the past 2 decades, affirming the benefits of recent trends in the management of GPA and its complications.

BACKGROUND: Some research has suggested a potential link between prenatal exposure to proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) or H2 -receptor antagonists (H2 RAs) and the development of childhood asthma. AIM: To quantify the relative risk of asthma in children who experienced pre-natal exposure to PPIs and/or H2 RAs, adjusting for potential confounders. METHODS: In this observational cohort study (NCT01787435), women aged 18-45 years with completed pregnancies between January 1996 and December 2010 were identified from The Health Improvement Network in the United Kingdom, and were linked to infants. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Our analysis identified 2371 prenatally exposed and 7745 unexposed infants. The incidence of asthma (per 1000 person-years) was 19.52 in the unexposed cohort, 23.88 in the PPI cohort and 32.16 in the H2 RA cohort. After adjusting for maternal healthcare utilisation during the year before pregnancy, the HR for asthma in infants whose mothers received prescriptions at any time during pregnancy was 1.12 (95% confidence interval: 0.88-1.44) for PPIs and 1.43 (1.20-1.70) for H2 RAs, when compared with unexposed infants. With further adjustment for maternal comorbidities and other medications, the HR for asthma was 1.03 (0.76-1.40) for PPIs and 1.32 (1.05-1.64) for H2 RAs. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis showed no association between prenatal exposure to PPIs and asthma in childhood after adjusting for confounders. The association found for H2 RAs may be explained largely by underlying environmental or genetic factors, as suggested by reductions in hazard ratio estimates following adjustment for maternal comorbidities.

BACKGROUND: Apart from baseline glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), little is known about clinical parameters that affect glycemic response to a dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP4) inhibitor when used in routine clinical practice. We aimed to use a large primary care database to assess the variability in response to a DPP4 inhibitor when used as add-on therapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data on 25,386 patients with type 2 diabetes, newly treated with a DPP4 inhibitor (2007-2013), were sourced from a United Kingdom general practice database via the Health Improvement Network database. Baseline clinical parameters of patients (n = 13,525) for whom a DPP4 inhibitor was added because of suboptimal glucose control (HbA1c >7%) were compared with 12-month follow-up data. An optimum response to the DPP4 inhibitor was defined as an HbA1c level of <7.0% at 12 months. Descriptive analyses and unadjusted comparisons using χ(2) and t tests were carried out to ascertain glycemic and body weight responses to treatment intensification with a DPP4 inhibitor. Predictor of response analyses were performed using multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: Overall, 1,708 (13%) of our study population achieved an HbA1c level of <7%. Intensification with a DPP4 inhibitor was associated with significant reductions in HbA1c (-0.5%), body weight (-0.9 kg), and total cholesterol (-0.1 mmol/L) (P < 0.001). Independent predictors of achieving optimal HbA1c target of <7% included the use of metformin (adjusted odds ratio [OR] = 2.58; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.18-3.04) and use of metformin plus sulfonylurea (1.42; 95% CI, 1.21-1.68) as opposed to no use. The independent predictors of suboptimal glucose control included a higher baseline HbA1c level (OR = 0.64; 95% CI, 0.61-0.68) (i.e., 1% increase in HbA1c was associated with a 36% reduced likelihood of response), longer diabetes duration (per every year increase) (OR = 0.85; 95% CI, 0.83-0.88), and intensification therapy below 9 months compared with 9-12 months. CONCLUSIONS: There is a significant variability in glycemic response to a DPP4 inhibitor in routine practice. The best effect is achieved as add-on to metformin and metformin plus sulfonylurea, but responses are significantly lower with increased diabetes duration and among patients with high HbA1c levels at baseline.